Neelam Mahajan Singh Professor is a Senior Political Analyst, Doordarshan News Personality, International Strategic Affairs Expert, Solicitor for Human Rights Protection, Author – Columnist. In An Exclusive Interview With ๐๐๐๐ข๐ซ ๐๐ข๐๐๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐ข, an analyses of The ‘Exit Polls For The Parliament of India; 2024’ is done. Here are some excerpts:
๐๐๐๐ข๐ซ ๐๐ข๐๐๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐ข: What does Neelam Mahajan Singh predict for 04.06.2024 Lok Sabha Election’s Results?
๐๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ฆ: First and foremost let me categorically state that BJP will get 2/3rd majority in Lok Sabha and #narendramodi_primeminister will be the next Prime Minister of India, for the third consecutive term. This will be a historical moment, in India’s political arena.
๐๐๐๐ข๐ซ ๐๐ข๐๐๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐ข: You started election analysis programme on Doordarshan. As ‘The Pathfinder Of Doordarshan News’ what are the factors, according to you; that gives an edge to BJP-NDA over the I.N.D.I.A. group?
๐๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ฆ: The main factor is that there’s no collateral Opposition. The people of India can make out, that this opposition alliance has no issues or agenda. It will collapse like a house of cards. Although several political analysts are differing on forecasts for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, but the 18th general elections in the country, will see 343 out of 543 seats go to Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP); singularly led by the incumbent Prime Minister Narendra Modi. So the people of India trust NDA more than the opposition parties, as they failed to provide a viable alternative leader, policies and agenda for common man.
๐๐๐๐ข๐ซ ๐๐ข๐๐๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐ข: The Exit Polls will be released after voting for the final phase ending on June 01 from 6 pm onwards. The final result will be declared on June 04. What can we factually predict?
๐๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ฆ: I have categorically stated that the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will form the Government. This is drawing a flak on me, but I can assertively say so, based on the ground level survey and interviews carried out by my teams. I also say so, because the incumbent BJP government at the Centre faces neither significant dissatisfaction nor a strong demand for an alternative government in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. Infact the attacks by political parties were ‘personality oriented’, the actual issues confronting the common man were missing from the Opposition’s plank. I am certain that Narendra Modi led BJP is returning to power. They will get nearly the same numbers as in 2019 elections or slightly more. Narendra Modi is securing his third term, as Prime Minister of India.
๐๐๐๐ข๐ซ ๐๐ข๐๐๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐ข: Dr. Manmohan Singh, former P.M. has alleged that Mr. Modi has lowered PM office’s gravity with hateful words. What’s your opinion?
๐๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ฆ: See for Dr. Manmohan Singh to say so, only for Narendra Modi is a subjective statement. Infact the Congress campaign by Rahul Gandhi, Priyanka Gandhi Vadra, Mamta Banerjee, Kejriwal, Tapasvi and Lalu Yadav, were equally hateful and Narendra Modi was vitriolically and viciously attacked by I.N.D.I.A. group. The fact is that the public discourse has considerably deteriorated, so it can not be said for any one person alone. While there has been some discont and dissatisfaction within BJP, there is no widespread anger against it, and more importantly, with BJP’ chief leader, Narendra Modi himself, had no challenge from any quarters.
๐๐๐๐ข๐ซ ๐๐ข๐๐๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐ข: So ‘Abki Bar 400 Paar’ slogan of BJP will actualize?
๐๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ฆ: Ha ha ha โฆ see BJP is a clever party! They gave this slogan of 400+ to create a euphoria amongst the voters. They know that they will get less than that, but they will form the government, so it’s OK. In politics, perception and projection plays a significant role. This would give the Opposition alliance 200 to 210 odd seats, presenting a formidable challenge to BJP in Parliament. So we need to see that BJP is getting 272+ majority mark. Politics and chatter
will continue. BJP currently holds less than 50 of the 240 seats in the East and South, which include states like Bihar, West Bengal, Assam, Odisha, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, and Kerala. The party’s strength comes from the North and West, where it has secured 260-270 out of 300 seats. Moreover BJP’s vote share and seats are rising in the South and East. Those doing commentaries will continue to do so. But I am most certain that NDA is returning to power.
๐๐๐๐ข๐ซ ๐๐ข๐๐๐ข๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐ข: What are the areas where the new government should focus on?
๐๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ฆ: The Narendra Modi government has to negotiate with the farmers. Haryana and Delhi repeatedly blocked farmers from entering Delhi. Repeated ‘Farm Agitations’, employment, FDI, hospitals, a robust foreign policy, economic resurgence, globalisation, women’s participation in political arena and security for women, are some areas that need much more attention.
๐๐๐๐ข๐ซ ๐๐ข๐๐๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐ข: So in retrospect which are the key issues that would secure a resounding return of Narendra Modi? Is Hindutva an important factor?
๐๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ฆ: I can most categorically state, that the inauguration of Ram Mandir in Ayodhya, scrapping Article 370 and 35A from Jammu and Kashmir and implementation of Uniform Civil Code by BJP-NDA government had a great impact on the voter’s psyche. Further to this, these were the key issues in BJP’s agenda, since it’s inception. It is Narendra Modi who has actualized the same. Further he’s got a powerful oratory skills and vision for the future. People connect with him. Ofcourse Hindutva is very much a vote catcher. Now there’s no doubt that Narendra Modi will be planning for consolidation of his political achievements and focus on the future of India’s global role.
๐๐๐๐ข๐ซ ๐๐ข๐๐๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐ข: Thank you so much Neelam jee for sharing your assessment with Aalmi TV and Media Group.
๐๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ฆ: Thank you to you for giving me an opportunity to share my analysis with your viewers and readers.
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